In a pinch: Edmonds' HR in eighth lifts Brewers
Baseball Betting Lines
07/26/2010 - Milwaukee, WI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pinch-hitter Jim Edmonds belted the tie- breaking home run off Bronson Arroyo with two outs in the eighth inning, as Milwaukee edged Cincinnati, 3-2, at Miller Park.
The Brewers, winners of five in a row, had just three hits in the opener of the three-game set, but one was a titanic two-run blast off the bat of Rickie Weeks in the third inning. Starting pitcher Randy Wolf had the other hit, a single just before Weeks' homer off a Miller Lite sign beyond the wall in center field.
Laynce Nix made a costly base-running mistake in the ninth inning, as the Reds suffered their second straight defeat. They also had a six-game winning streak against the Brewers broken.
Wolf allowed five hits and two runs over seven innings. Carlos Villanueva (1-0) pitched the eighth inning to get the win and John Axford survived the ninth for his 15th save.
"Wolf didn't have hit control early and we let him get away," Reds manager Dusty Baker said. "You hate to lose a game like that when Bronson was pitching so well."
Arroyo (10-6) pitched his second complete game of the season and 11th of his career. He walked one and fanned five batters, but dropped his second straight start.
Scott Rolen returned to the lineup for the Reds. The third baseman hadn't played since July 16 due to a right hamstring injury. He was hit by a pitch and scored once.
Edmonds pinch-hit for Villanueva in the eighth and sent a 1-2 offering barely foul down the right field line, home run distance. The next pitch was a no- doubter, a blast to the stands beyond the wall in right-center for his eighth homer of the year.
"Obviously coming off the bench isn't the greatest, but I could run only about 20 percent, so I didn't think I was even going to play tonight," Edmonds said. "We're a long way from first place, but it's nice to get a win. It's going to be an uphill battle for us."
Nix clubbed a pinch-hit double to center with one out in the ninth. Ryan Hanigan was up next and hit a bouncer to third base. Nix was caught between bases and tagged out as Hanigan reached safely. Pinch-hitter Chris Heisey then struck out swinging to end the game.
The Reds loaded the bases with nobody out in the second inning. Drew Stubbs struck out, but Hanigan singled to left for a 2-0 game. Arroyo struck out and Orlando Cabrera grounded out to keep two runners in scoring position.
Arroyo was dominant most of the night, except for the third inning. Wolf singled to left with two outs and Weeks crushed an 0-1 pitch for his 21st homer of the season.
Jonny Gomes singled and stole second in the sixth, but Stubbs flied out to right to end the inning.
The Reds wasted a lead-off walk by Brandon Phillips in the eighth.
Game Notes
Arroyo fell to 9-7 lifetime against the Brewers...Edmonds is 10 homers shy of 400 for his career...Gomes had three of Cincinnati's six hits...The Brewers have homered in 15 straight games, the longest stretch for the team since July 1-24, when they did it in a franchise-record 20 straight games.
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MySportsbook.com: New College Football Clock Rules Examined
Coaches and bettors alike are desperate to make sense of the new time-keeping rules on the NCAA gridiron. One of the big stories to come out of the Ohio State-Texas clash last weekend was Texas coach Mack Brown's criticism of the NCAA's new clock rules that are intended to shorten the duration of college football games, therefore affecting college football betting.
"They scored with six minutes left and the game was over before we had a chance to do anything," Brown told ESPN.com. "I really hope whoever made these changes will go back and look them over."
Sure, it might be sour grapes; the Buckeyes thoroughly trounced the defending national champion Longhorns 24-7. However, Brown isn't alone in giving the changes their due thought. Bettors are also wondering about them, albeit for a completely different reason. Most experts agree that the changes will result in games being shortened by anywhere from 10 to 20 plays. The obvious consequence is lower scores, with more time rolling off the clock during changes of possession. (The Ohio State-Texas game flew well under the total of 52.)
According to research at the online sportsbook MySportsbook.com, more than 18 plays a game disappeared last weekend into thin air. That's a 10-percent reduction. In 2005, a typical game had 168.58 plays. For 2007 already, it's down to 150.26.
As a result, teams combined to gain an average of about 100 fewer yards a game last weekend versus the 2005 openers. Scoring was also down by about 4.5 points (attention Las Vegas sports lines).
Of course, oddsmakers were able to adjust to the changes before the season started. Proof of that came as the over went a balanced 8-9 at My Sportsbook on Saturday.
Other angles to consider:A shorter game should theoretically result in shorter lines. Whereas Team A might have been a 14-point favorite in a 168-play game (last year), if there are 10 percent less snaps in 2007, the line should also be reduced by 10 percent (to 13 or 12.5). Of course, this is an over-simplification of the matter, but something to keep in mind.
Less possessions means a better chance the game will be decided by three or seven points. For example, what might have been a 20-10 final score in 2005 may end at
17-10 in 2007. Granted, a 24-17 game last year might end at 21-17 these days, but the former - a three- or seven-point advantage being preserved as opposed to created - is the most likely scenario.
*UPDATE* - Sept. 25, 2007
New Clock Rules Boon for online bookmakers
By adjusting the time-keeping rules to shorten the duration of college football games, the NCAA hoped to make its product more enjoyable for the fans. While the NCAA's success in this regard is still up for debate, bookmakers couldn't be happier with the results.
"We are seeing a massive jump in college football betting," noted the MySportsbook.com management team. "With all the early Saturday games (12 a.m. ET) ending before the second wave begins (3:30 p.m. ET) - something that didn't always happen before the changes - bettors are now able to re-invest their winnings from the morning session in the afternoon games."
While not all bettors will choose to roll over their winnings, it doesn't take much for an impact to be seen on the bottom line. "Not all of the millions of dollars in morning payouts get re-bet. In fact, it's probably only 10 to 20 percent," noted the sportsbook management team. "Still, the increased football betting lines window will create a ton of growth for us over the course of the season."
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